Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment

By: Kylie E C Ainslie, Caroline Walters, Han Fu, Sangeeta Bhatia, Haowei Wang, Marc Baguelin, Samir Bhatt, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, Olivia Boyd, Lorenzo Cattarino, Constanze Ciavarella, , Zulma Cucunubá, Gina CuomoDannenburg, Amy Dighe, Ilaria Dorigatti, Sabine L van Elsland, Rich FitzJohn,

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Fundamental principles of epidemic spread highlight the immediate need for large-scale serological surveys to assess the stage of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic

Jose Lorenco, Robert Paton, Mahan Ghafari, Moritz Kraemer, Craig Thompson, Peter Simmonds, Paul Klenerman, Sunetra Gupta In: not yet published Date: 25 March, 2020 Summary Three phases of the spread of a novel pathogenic infectious agent: Slow accumulation of new

Read More Fundamental principles of epidemic spread highlight the immediate need for large-scale serological surveys to assess the stage of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic

Evidence of initial success for China exiting COVID-19 social distancing policy after achieving containment

By: Kylie E C Ainslie, Caroline Walters, Han Fu, Sangeeta Bhatia, Haowei Wang, Marc Baguelin, Samir Bhatt, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, Olivia Boyd, Lorenzo Cattarino, Constanze Ciavarella, , Zulma Cucunubá, Gina CuomoDannenburg, Amy Dighe, Ilaria Dorigatti, Sabine L van Elsland, Rich FitzJohn,

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Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand

By: Neil M Ferguson, Daniel Laydon, Gemma Nedjati-Gilani, Natsuko Imai, Kylie Ainslie, Marc Baguelin, Sangeeta Bhatia, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, Zulma Cucunubá, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Amy Dighe, Ilaria Dorigatti, Han Fu, Katy Gaythorpe, Will Green, Arran Hamlet, Wes Hinsley, Lucy C Okell, Sabine

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Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails

Chapter 3 Only. By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb Chapter 3 – Fat Tails and Their Effects, An Introduction Spotting fat tails through negative empiricism: As we gather information, we can rule (other) distributions out. If we see a 20 sigma event,

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How Capitalism Changes Conscience

By: Jonathan Haidt In: Centers for Humans and Nature Date: 28 September 2015 Key Concepts: Our world is changing fast. Ecologically, economically, demographically, etc. Most of us are disoriented by these changes. Rapid changes change our ethics. “Most important graph

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Homeostasis and Gauss Statistics

Barriers to understanding natural variability. By: Bruce J. West In: Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice Date: 11 March 2010 Key Concepts: Most decision making revolves around pattern recognition [prediction]. Data => information => patterns => knowledge, models. Comparing patterns

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The Precautionary Principle

(with Application to the Genetic Modification of Organisms) By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Rupert Read, Raphael Douady, Joseph Norman, Yaneer Bar-Yam In: EXTREME RISK INITIATIVE, NYU SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING WORKING PAPER SERIES Date: 17 October 2014 Key Concepts: Precautionary principle: preventing

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A Deep-Dream Virtual Reality Platform for Studying Altered Perceptual Phenomenology

By: Keisuke Suzuki, Warrick Roseboom, David J. Schwartzman & Anil K. Seth In: Nature, Scientific Reports, 7 Date: 22 November 2017 Key Concepts: Altered states of consciousness (ASC): Qualitative alteration in the overall pattern of mental functioning. The experiencer feels

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Model hallucinations

By: Philip Gerrans and Chris Letheby In: Aeon Date: 2018 Key Concepts: Psychedelics: Induce an altered state of consciousness known as ‘ego dissolution’. Sensations of self-transcendence. A feeling in which the mind is put in touch more directly and intensely

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